Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.005303 0.005857 0.006429 0.007065 0.007749 0.008462 0.009261
2025-02-16 0.004533 0.005340 0.006215 0.007231 0.008376 0.009619 0.011069
2025-02-23 0.003920 0.004845 0.005885 0.007133 0.008584 0.010206 0.012149
2025-03-02 0.003516 0.004527 0.005699 0.007145 0.008868 0.010841 0.013255
2025-03-09 0.003312 0.004415 0.005726 0.007382 0.009397 0.011747 0.014675
2025-03-16 0.003069 0.004228 0.005641 0.007463 0.009724 0.012407 0.015801
2025-03-23 0.002895 0.004111 0.005625 0.007616 0.010128 0.013155 0.017038
2025-03-30 0.002759 0.004029 0.005642 0.007800 0.010566 0.013945 0.018332
2025-04-06 0.002502 0.003767 0.005411 0.007652 0.010572 0.014191 0.018951
2025-04-13 0.002333 0.003613 0.005309 0.007660 0.010769 0.014671 0.019861
2025-04-20 0.002139 0.003409 0.005127 0.007549 0.010802 0.014936 0.020497
2025-04-27 0.001988 0.003257 0.005006 0.007513 0.010924 0.015311 0.021273
2025-05-04 0.001842 0.003105 0.004881 0.007469 0.011041 0.015689 0.022073
2025-05-11 0.001773 0.003064 0.004910 0.007638 0.011448 0.016455 0.023391
2025-05-18 0.001630 0.002900 0.004753 0.007536 0.011477 0.016717 0.024046
2025-05-25 0.001531 0.002798 0.004680 0.007548 0.011660 0.017182 0.024974
2025-06-01 0.001504 0.002806 0.004769 0.007796 0.012175 0.018103 0.026524
2025-06-08 0.001436 0.002745 0.004750 0.007880 0.012460 0.018712 0.027660
2025-06-15 0.001392 0.002719 0.004781 0.008040 0.012851 0.019472 0.029009
2025-06-22 0.001358 0.002708 0.004835 0.008232 0.013293 0.020306 0.030469
2025-06-29 0.001247 0.002558 0.004664 0.008077 0.013224 0.020426 0.030949
2025-07-06 0.001179 0.002479 0.004602 0.008085 0.013392 0.020877 0.031888
2025-07-13 0.001090 0.002357 0.004464 0.007970 0.013371 0.021059 0.032452